Government out to fool the public with a so-called stimulus package February 3, 2009
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It has been almost two months since the last time I wrote for my blog. The Christmas and New Year celebrations, and the extended holiday period thereafter, seemed to have held me and I have not found the time to write in these past few weeks.
Now there is all this talk about a government stimulus package. Remember folks that even in the early months of the financial crisis during October and Novermber last year, the Palace-dominated House of Representatives has already been deliberating the budget for the fiscal year 2009. The President’s allies railroaded the process without even putting into account the core issue of the crisis which is about to hit the country this year. Malacanang and Congress were so confident that the country would not be hit hard despite the rest of the world were already moving to a direction in preparation for a tumultous 2009.
It is amazing, therefore, that our leaders are jumping into the stimulus bandwagon virtually telling the public they had it all figured out. Conservative senators were even apalled when the President declared to the public they had a multibillion peso stimulus package in store when in fact no one mentioned about this in the halls of Congress when the budget was being debated.
What this is all about is the Palace and their allies in Congress are packaging the budget in a way the people would feel they are on top of things. I am afraid there has been an extreme lack of effective governance. The people should know that our government failed to recognize the magnanimity of the global financial and economic crisis and did not act when they should have. The people ought to know that the government is set to spend more anyway this year with or without the crisis. In fact, there is no stimulus package.
Government has clearly miscalculated and they are racing hard to salvage their image especially that election season is coming up. There are disturbing reports that many lawmakers are quick to get a piece of taxpayers’ money. Lack of transparency on how the people’s money are spent is the root cause of this. This government, unfortunately, tolerates this because it makes sure they are the ones going to do the spending.
When you are a middle-income earner, you would notice that your taxes continue to remain high even at the height of the inflationary cycle last year. The Arroyo government fell in love with this setup and fought heaven and earth not to change it. The Arroyo government will never dream of providing tax cuts to middle-income families and let them improve their own savings and purchasing power. This setup afforded the Arroyo-dominated Congress to raise government spending. Not only it strayed them away from their initial goals to significantly reduce public deficit, it also took away the ability of the middle class to spend more.
Now that we have this crisis, the Arroyo government continues to stay stubborn and sticks with this economic strategy. I mean, how stimulative can a government get by putting the fate of the economy by handing it to the hands of officials which some has been long tainted by corruption. This is classic Arroyo economics. You earn Php180,000 a year, the government takes away Php30,000. Government has all the power to spend that money but ends up only a portion of it actually goes to where it is supposed to be intended. Why not offer significant tax credits to middle-income earners and let them save and spend, stimulating the economy in the process.
I fear that much of these spending that the government have in store are not stimulative at all. I believe some of them lack the vision of a long-term development unlike that of US President Barack Obama’s, that focuses on energy and education as the core of their economic stimulus plan. It is sad that the Filipino people are stuck with leaders with no genuine ability to handle this once-in-a-lifetime crisis. The numbers may not be availalble yet but I strongly think the Philippines is currently in recession. I honestly do not trust Malacanang and this current Congress to ever get a grip of this crisis. You might as well look after yourself because in the Philippines, no help is coming for the middle class.
Philippine Congress must call for a stimulus package for the crisis, not charter change December 16, 2008
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I was there in Ayala Avenue and Paseo de Roxas last Friday where the heart of Manila’s business district was converted into a freedom park for anti charter change protesters. I was not there to join the rally nor oppose it, it just so happens that my wife works there and we go home together. Later that day, I learned from the news that a number of senators were there in the rally and most came from the liberal side of the upper chamber of Congress. Conservative senators have also voiced their opposition to the measure being vigorously pursued by the House.
My take on the charter change is it should be limited in the economic components of the constitution making them more up-to-date in the free market environment. The consensus among most senators is that it should be done after the 2010 elections to avoid any suspicion that it will be used to extend term limits of public officials. The House must realize that this is important and should not immediately shrug off these suspicions, regardless if it has any basis or not, because government is all about public trust.
Democracy is about the rule of the people and this rule is designated to those officials elected to office. Even if it the intention is to amend the basic law that will pave way for economic development, which the representatives from the House are claiming to be their only aim for the pursuing the measure, the notion of public trust must supersede above anything else. Anyway, there would not be much room for any alterations in the economic side of the constitution to trickle into the economy because we are currently in the downward phase of the economic cycle. The best thing the House can do is to call for a stimulus package similar to what other countries are now doing in response to the global economic meltdown.
Senator Edgardo Angara’s editorial column that appeared in the Manila Bulletin last Sunday titled “Fiscal stimulus in response to the crisis” outlined a government-initiated spending that focused on infrastructure, education and health, housing, and the environment. These would funnel national government funds to where it is best needed and at the same time create jobs that would partly cancel those that have been lost due to the crisis.
Congress must now completely abandon the charter change bandwagon and lead the country into a new direction where the realities of a new economy are fast building up. It is their job to create an oversight to make sure that as the national government spends its way out of this crisis, it should make sure taxpayers’ money is wisely spent to where it is intended and the future generations of Filipinos are protected from effects of burgeoning debt.
Liverpool salvages 2-2 draw vs Hull City, keeps slim lead over Chelsea December 15, 2008
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Captain Steven Gerrard once again came to the rescue for a Liverpool side that went two goals down in the first half in their fixture against Hull City at Anfield last Saturday. Despite the disappointing finish, it was enough to keep them top of the Barclays Premier League as chief rivals Chelsea suffered a similar result against West Ham United barely 24 hours later.
In fact, all of the dubbed ‘Big Four’ clubs in the premiership failed to snare maximum points in their respective matches in the weekend. Manchester United, which closely follows Chelsea at third place, was held by Tottenham Hotspur, not the best of results leading to their stint in the FIFA Club World Cup in Tokyo this week. The same goes for inconsistent Arsenal, which paved way for Aston Villa to snatch the crucial fourth spot from the Gunners.
Liverpool has Gerrard to thank for after the inspirational midfielder almost single-handedly lifted the Merseyside club back in the game which was clearly dominated by the Tigers in the early goings. The Reds almost completed an amazing turnaround but failed to capitalize in their many chances in the second half.
Liverpool is set for a massive encounter against Arsenal in the final weekend fixtures before Christmas Day. A victory would secure them top of the league and a needed breathing space between them and Chelsea, which has been ripped lately for their poor form.
The auto bailout deal could face a dead end in the US Senate December 12, 2008
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The ball is in the US Senate with respect to the fate of the multi-billion loan package for two of the three struggling Detroit-based auto makers. Earlier this week the House of Representatives already approved their own version of the bailout package that would make US$14 billion of taxpayers’ money available for General Motors and Chrysler.
The plan, which still needs Senate approval, was greeted with pessimism by a number of Senate Republicans. They argued that until the auto makers restructure many of their contracts especially with the auto workers’ union, the federal government would just be wasting taxpayer’s money into something that is doomed for failure anyway.
Latest reports, however, show that the Senate Democrats’ efforts to strike a compromise with their GOP counterparts in order the achieve the needed votes to get the loan package passed, is facing a huge stumbling block. Public perception against the bailout has been mounting according to the latest poll conducted by CNN/Opinion Research Poll Corp., showing 60 percent of Americans do not agree with the idea of using public funds to help the auto makers.
The outgoing White House administration as well as the soon to be sworn-in President-elect Barack Obama have stood for a bailout plan just to keep the ‘Detroit 3′ from filing Chapter 11 or bankruptcy. With the talks in the Senate due to collapse a likely scenario, the auto makers are left with no choice but to consider the bankruptcy route. Just this morning, Fox News reported that the Wall Street Journal is running a story about General Motors officials in the process of hiring lawyers and advisers with expertise in bankruptcy laws. Reality has set in for the ‘Detroit 3′ and it looks like their engines are bound for a bumpy ride in the coming weeks.
‘Blagojevich scandal’ puts President-elect Obama on the defensive December 11, 2008
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Before he could be even sworn in, President-elect Barack Obama is already being tested particularly in his vision for change now that he is being dragged to the scandal involving Illinois Governor Rod Blagojevich. For the benefit of Filipinos, since this story has not hit mainstream media, the scandal revolves around the corruption charges filed against the Illinois governor and his chief of staff for setting a ‘bid’ on the Senate seat vacated by Obama. By state law, the governor of Illinois is tasked to name the replacement of the Senate seat that is vacant.
Blagojevich was caught through the wiretapping efforts of federal authorities. The president-elect has already called for the resignation of the governor, who has staunchly supported the former in his bid for the White House. Obama has also denied allegations that his team has any knowledge about Blagojevich’s wrongdoings with regards to the Senate seat selection process.
However, this has not stopped conservatives from questioning the Obama camp especially when there are allegations that Obama’s personal choice for the post was pulled out of contention and was offered a White House designation immediately after the scandal broke out. Some say it suggests that the Obama camp was in fact in contact with the governor and knew of the ’selling’ and failed to report it.
This has certainly placed the president-elect in an awkward position barely six weeks before being inaugurated as the 44th president of the United States. Some are now questioning his ability to initiate change with his involvement with allegedly corrupt officials in his own turf.
Executives of Philippine government-controlled corporations should consider slashing their bonuses in ‘09 December 10, 2008
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Executives from struggling financial firms Wachovia, Merrill Lynch, and Morgan Stanley have already committed to defer their bonuses this year. It is a gesture by Wall Street to cut their costs in light of the global financial and economic crisis. Now that the US is in recession, thanks mostly to many of their financial companies, it sure does make sense for their top executives not to receive any bonus.
Here in the Philippines, the government not only owns but has significant stake in various corporations. The perks and bonuses of many of the executives, at the helm of these corporations, are enormous to say the least. Now that the country’s economy is expected to slow down next year to 3.5-4.5 percent, the government should consider cutting if not defer the bonuses of the executives of the GOCCs (Government-owned and controlled corporations).
Now that the Php1.4 trillion budget for next year is almost a certainty, unless the conservatives in the Senate can salvage a last-minute effort to bring it down, Congress must act to make sure bulk of that spending will be allocated to provide relief for the poor and projects that create jobs. The Senate must make sure that while the economy is threading a dangerous path next year, the executives of GOCCs won’t be spending taxpayer’s money on new luxury cars and overseas trips.
Liverpool ends scoring drought, stays ahead of Chelsea and Man Utd December 9, 2008
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They were a totally different Liverpool side that went out of the tunnel to begin the second half of their away fixture opposite Blackburn Rovers last Saturday. It was clear that Blackburn made it difficult for Rafa Benitiez’s lads to find any opening for a clear attempt on goal in the entire first half. The club was determined to end a string of 0-0 results which have made it difficult for them to pull away against Chelsea and reigning champions Manchester United, which occupies second and third places respectively in the Barclays Premier League.
Xabi Alonso’s low strike off a Dirk Kuyt blocked shot ended a two-game spell for the Reds without scoring a goal. Yosi Benayoun’s difficult angle shot made it almost academic for Liverpool before Blackburn striker Roque Santa Cruz negated the Israeli’s effort by scoring a headed goal on the other end which made the game still interesting.
Benitez elected to field in El-Zar over Robbie Keane and the former provided the pass that led to a Steven Gerrard goal, which finally iced the game. Gerrard, the team’s influential captain, earlier in the week admitted that this is the best Liverpool side he has ever played with and he has high hopes for the team’s chances of eventually lifting the Premier League trophy come May. Despite of Liverpool’s overall success in England and in Europe, they have not won the English title since 1990.
Steep November job losses could end deadlock on the US auto industry bailout plan December 8, 2008
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It was a shockwave that was felt throughout Wall Street all the way to Capitol Hill. Last Friday, many stood in disbelief as the economy absorbed yet another huge blow when it was reported that the November job loss numbers tallied 533,000 pushing the US unemployment rate now well ahead of six percent. It came as a shock to many analysts whom many expected it would be just around 350,000.
The job cuts came across the board, from the financials to retail and trade, suggesting that this recession was not at all willing to take any prisoners. For the congressional leaders inside the Beltway, these figures could finally end the divide that continuously delay the approval of a bailout package aimed at saving the beleaguered auto industry, particularly that of General Motors, Ford, and Chrysler, collectively known as the ‘Detroit 3’ or the ‘Big 3’.
House speaker Nancy Pelosi, initially adamant in giving the automakers of what they were asking when they faced the congressional committee on finance in the past few weeks, is now reconsidering the measure since a bankruptcy by these companies might result to a possibility of them eventually closing down. It is estimated that over 2 million jobs would be lost as a result of the collapse of the ‘Detroit 3’, which includes the industries that supply the parts for the mechanization of their cars.
The US Congress is steadfastly working in this lame duck session to have US$15-17 billion of the earlier approved legislation to make cleaner cars, be used to pump the engines of GM and Chrysler at least until the new Barrack Obama administration gets into full swing. President-elect Obama has hinted in his recent ‘Meet the Press’ interview on NBC that he will not allow the collapse of the auto industry, so that should be good news for the three struggling automakers.
US, China talks further economic ties but lack solutions to the crisis December 5, 2008
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The world watches as the two superpowers, the United States and China, talked about economic matters in a time when their leadership is highly sought by the rest of the world amidst a crippling global economic and financial crisis. The third edition of the China-US Strategic Economic Dialogue in Beijing this week did just that. But the question is, was there enough substance that this summit produced to make any significant impact if at all.
It is the first time Chinese and American finance officials met since the crisis began in October. Both understood now each country is a dependent entity of the other at least in terms of trade. The crisis bared how the decline of US consumption can have adverse effects to China’s mass production. Thus, the summit tackled the issue of economic growth balance which has for years gone to the favor of the Chinese. China has also committed to improve their food and consumer goods safety standards in light of the recent troubles Chinese manufacturers faced abroad with their products from milk to toys, all involved in cases of health hazards.
But what analysts are most interested in is how the two sides are going to address the current crisis that would benefit not only their economies but hope to stimulate the entire world economy back on track. The Americans are mulling for a stronger RMB, China’s currency, in order to make US goods more competitive in the Chinese market. However, their Chinese counterpart is inclined to depreciate their currency because they need to save their rapidly declining export industry, which according to Chinese Premier Hu Jintao has lost its competitive edge.
It’s obvious that the Chinese are facing massive pressure inside because of the rate manufacturing companies are closing shop all over the mainland. Many, however, dispute this notion as nothing but political rather than economic because it is not that the Chinese exports have lost competitiveness but it is the overall fall of American consumption. Since no one is buying their goods, it is just imperative that their exports are expected to fall and a depreciated RMB is not likely to make any difference.
Many believe that the Chinese are simply positioning themselves politically over the Americans since they know the US has not much leverage coming into these talks. They would rather deal more constructively with the next officials of the new Obama administration rather than push for something concrete with a lameduck Bush administration.
Young professionals should start holding on to their money December 4, 2008
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If you are 20ish and has a habit of jumping from one job to another, now is the time to reform that attitude. The economic crisis, although still in its infancy here in the Philippines, is expected to go full swing next year. The problem is real and most of it is really out of the hands of ordinary middle class families and individuals, especially the yuppies, a slang term for young professionals.
There are things that young working professionals can do to secure themselves financially as our economy transverses this crisis. Start saving. Saving money, though, is easier said than done, because if it were, we would have ranked among the countries with high savings rate but unfortunately we are currently among the bottom of the sphere along with the likes of Bangladesh and Myanmar racking only 17 percent. People from our neighboring countries Thailand and Malaysia save three-tenths of their income while the Chinese save half of theirs.
Why is it important to save? Because it is a form of investing in your future (purchasing a home, buying a car) and bring security to a rather uncertain future (untimely health care costs, other emergency situations). Also, it is a good leverage against a burgeoning credit card debt, which is a situation that most young professionals find themselves into nowadays. A high debt with low or non-existent savings is a recipe for bankruptcy. Certainly, no one wants to be a young, hip, and broke professional at their 20s or early 30s.


